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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013

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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013 Empty Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013

Post by Admin Fri Apr 26, 2013 7:36 am

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013

All eyes on the ECB
This week's data releases were disappointing on balance. While economic numbers in the US and China continued to come in on a weak(er) note, the eurozone's business climate readings failed to improve again. The UK's GDP report, however, was a nice exception, showing that the economy returned to growth earlier this year. With German business sentiment figures down again (but overall still signaling growth), the French numbers pretty mixed at low levels and Italy's reading (to be released next Thursday) likely up from depressed lows, EMU-wide sentiment does not show signs of recovery after the weakness of the last two months. This should further challenge the ECB's expectations of a stabilization in activity in 1H13 followed by a gradual recovery in the second half of the year. Coupled with recent dovish remarks from Council members and the "lively debate" during the last meeting, this indicates that the central bank should cut the refi rate (but not the deposit rate) by 25bp within the next five weeks. The exact timing of the rate cut is a close call. But our guess is that June is more likely than May, also because the ECB will have the 1Q13 GDP numbers at hand and will have finished its macroeconomic update procedure by then.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/26042013/


N/A | Japan. BoJ Interest Rate Decision
2013-04-26 08:00 GMT | Switzerland. SNB Chairman Jordan Speech
2013-04-26 12:30 GMT | USA. Gross Domestic Product Annualized
2013-04-26 13:55 GMT | USA. US Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index


2013-04-26 04:54 GMT | USD/JPY dives lower after Bank of Japan monetary policy release
2013-04-26 04:07 GMT | EUR/USD choppy trade continues, ECB meeting on tap next week
2013-04-26 02:14 GMT | AUD/USD higher on weaker USD and stronger commodities
2013-04-26 02:14 GMT | US Dollar leaking lower during Asia trade


EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30474 LOW 1.29977 BID 1.30294 ASK 1.30301 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08 : 45:17

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013 EURUSD

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Price stabilized after the yesterday depreciation. Today we see potential to overcome our next resistance level at 1.3049 (R1). Clearance here might pull the pair towards to eventual targets at 1.3066 (R2) and 1.3082 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, market bias remains negative. Risk of further decline is seen below the key support level at 1.3017 (S1). Break here is required to validate lower targets at 1.3000 (S2) and 1.2982 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3049, 1.3066, 1.3082
Support Levels: 1.3017, 1.3000, 1.2982

--------------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.54716 LOW 1.54287 BID 1.54539 ASK 1.54546 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08 : 45:17

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013 GBPUSD

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Current price setup is looking for upwards extension possibility. Risk of the price acceleration is seen above the key resistance level at 1.5479 (R1). Clearance here would put immediate focus on the next targets at 1.5502 (R2) and then 1.5524 (R3). Downwards scenario: Bearish pressure might push the price below the support at 1.5426 (S1). Further correction development would open road towards to next target at 1.5402 (S2) and any further losses would then be limited to 1.5378 (S3) mark.

Resistance Levels: 1.5479, 1.5502, 1.5524
Support Levels: 1.5426, 1.5402, 1.5378

-----------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 99.411 LOW 98.225 BID 98.552 ASK 98.559 CHANGE -0.7% TIME 08 : 45:18

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Apr 26 2013 USDJPY

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Price accelerates on the downside though chance of market appreciation is seen above the key resistance at 99.22 (R1). Next targets could be found 99.66 (R2) and 100.07 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the next resistance level our medium-term outlook would be negative. Next on tap is support level at 98.17 (S1). Penetration below this mark would suggest next targets at 97.78 (S2) and 97.39 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 99.22, 99.66, 100.07
Support Levels: 98.17, 97.78, 97.39

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Trading News | Forex Demo Account | Currency Converter | FXCC )

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